Today there are many in form trainers taking on each other at Royal Ascot. For example Aidan O’Brien saddles a few 2nd Favourites. He is a clear danger to our selections so we will use a staking plan to accommodate this dilemma.
15:35 Royal Ascot: Pierre Lapin
We really like the chances of Pierre Lapin for the in form Roger Varian. We have backed a few of Roger’s horses this week and they have performed very well. However O’Brien has the strongly fancied Lope Y Fernandez running.
We intend to adopt a staking plan here. In order to cover the danger we will have a ‘saver’ on Lope Y Fernandez.
What is a saver?
A saver is a small bet on the main danger to your selection so you at least get your stake back should the danger prevail (or a small profit).
We will use the 80/20 method i.e 20% of your stake on the danger, 80% on the main selection.
So in this case we would do this:
Pierre Lapin: 80% of stake. (0.8 points / Win)
Lope Y Fernandez: 20% of stake. (0.2 points / Win)
And we hope Pierre Lapin can win and we make a nice profit and if O’Brien/Moore spoil the party we will get our stake back plus a few crumbs. If something else wins we will be down a point which is no big deal.
16:40 Royal Ascot: West End Charmer
We really like this well Handicapped horse for the in form Mark Johnston who does well in these races and especially at Royal Ascot.
Sporting Life says:
‘Easy winner at Doncaster in June 2019 and made a mockery of a 10lb higher mark at Newmarket (1m2f, good) when returning from just over a year off. 5lb well in under a 5lb penalty here but has disappointed in two previous tries at this trip.’
We think he’ll be OK with the trip and William Buick has been booked to ride which we think is significant.
He’s a great bet at around 11/2
Away from Royal Ascot..
14:35 Newmarket: Exceptional
We backed Exceptional last time out and she is an improving filly for trainer Richard Fahey. She should be able to defy the penalty here and win again.
Fahey has booked a claiming jockey to take off 3lbs and he looks OK to us. Hopefully he can get the job done.
If Exceptional wins at 14:35 we intend to double up and put even more on West End Charmer… Win or bust!